Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009264 0.010422 0.011695 0.013200 0.014938 0.016888 0.019250
2025-05-04 0.007414 0.008960 0.010808 0.013196 0.016229 0.019986 0.025046
2025-05-11 0.006440 0.008156 0.010325 0.013302 0.017339 0.022703 0.030508
2025-05-18 0.005666 0.007442 0.009785 0.013160 0.017985 0.024778 0.035324
2025-05-25 0.005162 0.006995 0.009508 0.013281 0.018939 0.027330 0.041161
2025-06-01 0.004686 0.006520 0.009118 0.013162 0.019481 0.029296 0.046369
2025-06-08 0.004200 0.005974 0.008557 0.012702 0.019411 0.030261 0.050047
2025-06-15 0.003915 0.005692 0.008349 0.012745 0.020121 0.032546 0.056344
2025-06-22 0.003770 0.005603 0.008418 0.013225 0.021592 0.036301 0.065975
2025-06-29 0.003483 0.005266 0.008065 0.012964 0.021748 0.037733 0.071388
2025-07-06 0.003223 0.004951 0.007716 0.012669 0.021796 0.038955 0.076574
2025-07-13 0.003045 0.004753 0.007541 0.012653 0.022345 0.041194 0.084322
2025-07-20 0.002947 0.004688 0.007599 0.013088 0.023861 0.045697 0.098385
2025-07-27 0.002782 0.004499 0.007429 0.013093 0.024551 0.048653 0.109670
2025-08-03 0.002649 0.004353 0.007320 0.013197 0.025449 0.052194 0.123292
2025-08-10 0.002494 0.004155 0.007099 0.013056 0.025809 0.054582 0.134516
2025-08-17 0.002389 0.004038 0.007015 0.013177 0.026745 0.058467 0.150928
2025-08-24 0.002262 0.003872 0.006825 0.013058 0.027133 0.061092 0.164452
2025-08-31 0.002104 0.003639 0.006490 0.012602 0.026685 0.061552 0.171525
2025-09-07 0.002018 0.003533 0.006393 0.012645 0.027417 0.065190 0.189846
2025-09-14 0.001986 0.003527 0.006491 0.013121 0.029259 0.072156 0.221732
2025-09-21 0.001879 0.003369 0.006269 0.012862 0.029240 0.073949 0.235946
2025-09-28 0.001776 0.003213 0.006043 0.012570 0.029098 0.075371 0.249313